Is Day a “politician”? Maiwar's Michael Berkman goes into this election as the Greens' sole MP in the Queensland Parliament. I note UAP are also running here, which might shave a few percent of the majors. Dr Lee Duffield is a former ABC foreign correspondent, political journalist and academic. The ultimate political poison is when the voter feels they have been deceived , & there is no coming back. After getting it that wrong it is time for some media personnel to enrol in POL101 — get themselves a bit savvy about this politics business. This service may include material from Agence France-Presse (AFP), APTN, Reuters, AAP, CNN and the BBC World Service which is copyright and cannot be reproduced. The Greens also poll strongly in this electorate and the estimated first preferences from 2015 are LNP 47.7%, Labor 29.1% and the Greens 20.4%. Where Labor had 41 seats in the old parliament of 89 and finished with 48 in the 93-seat house, the LNP started with 41 and ended up with 39. The Queensland election campaign begins today ahead of the October 31 polling day.Credit:Brisbane Times. Electoral Commission of Queensland disclosures. He got 8.5% in Ryan after he got kicked out of the LNP, and I don’t imagine he’ll get any more than that a decade later, but the vote splitting won’t help the LNP. Has there been a “seismic shift” in voting patterns ?. But in the SEQLD nothing moves and is standstill. The “left” apparently worried about losing? Another thing to tie those three by-elections together: none of them had Lib candidates. To make a comment or suggest a change to the election site, please contact us. Neighbouring Indoorpoopilly was a more traditional Liberal/LNP seat. YEs I think Deb Frecklington could be a backbencher by election day. Raising council electoral results i do find is also a “bold” proposition, in itself. Every time she opens her mouth she does Libs dammage. Voters will have to number every box on their ballot paper.Credit:AFR. Unlike the LNP, which decides its parliamentary leader through a party room vote of elected MPs, Labor has a more complicated process. Last election Wardill was paid to throw everything at Trad in her seat – to white-ant the electorate’s faith in her position : while missing the slide to the Greens, in the adjoining (“hop, skip and a jump”? We will see. On my calculations assuming no minor party or independent gains a seat this time, Is that the LNP will need at least 42-43 Seats to be in territory of forming government, Which is unlikely at this stage based on internal polling. Well done.https://t.co/Etv25XVgih#Auspol pic.twitter.com/U6dQAnwsoD. Incumbent MP Michael Berkman, since 2017. Two Months ago did you think there was the slightest chance of Jackie Trad being a backbencher? They could win Maryborough and Rockhampton. Main opposition to Palaszczuk appears to be now coming from conspiracy nutters, political activists and those substantiall impacted By lock down. @Daniel, is it actually that many they need? Sven asks: Why are some electorates named after people and not the area? cheers WD. The Labor member for Mt Coot-tha, Steven Miles, has moved north to contest Murrumba. Also for example, one laughable ABC interview about Townsville with a commentator from the local university was cast entirely in terms of a fight between One Nation and the LNP. Queensland University of Technology political analyst, former Labor government minister and former Speaker John Mickel answers: It will neither help nor hinder. Emerson has had little difficulty retaining Indooroopilly since. It's important to remember that your preference flow would never reach the undesirable candidate/s in your electorate if one of the last two candidates standing is numbered ahead of them. Over the past 21 years, Palani has been involved in Labor union movements and is presently the elected Conference Delegate for Together Union. Not on your life. Reminds me of Dan Andrews , & the PM. Imagine you're in an electorate where there's one anti-ice cream candidate and three pro-ice cream candidates. So, LNP and Green both in the 30’s, Labor probably stuck in third. How much? Sitting MP advantage goes from LNP to Greens here (Labor gave theirs up because Miles shifted seats in 2017 – they actually did pretty well to go backwards by less than the LNP). If no candidate receives a majority of votes (50 per cent plus one), then another election is held, but this time with just the top two candidates vying off against each other. However, he is so much more than that, filling vital roles in the community and the government.Since 2004, he has been an active member of the Queensland Labor Party and has contributed significantly to the party and its policies. “Imagine the uproar from the left if (Annastacia) Palaszczuk’s sign made reference to her being Albo’s lady of ill-repute” one said. Not directly, according to Australian Electoral Commission disclosures, with most money coming from various state branches. Look at the map) in Maiwar. Slightest knowledge of the regional electoral history would command that the Labor Party, which held and held on to all three Townsville electorates, needed to be included in the calculations. Day didn’t want to be drawn into that debate. Labor Candidate for Maiwar Queensland Labor. Andrew Jackson All right All right you WERE correct about Trad Stop gloating it is unattractive. But the partisan, subjective, gossip-peddling, toxic msm (that King worked for – doing the PR she did) doesn’t matter when it comes to promoting vilification? The Queensland election campaign begins today ahead of the October 31 polling day. I can see the LNP winning the TPP but losing the election because allot of their votes will be wasted in Regional QLD in seats they already hold. I am sure you will find her politics, views, & ideas far more “enlightened” than old buggers like scaper, & me !! Pauline Peel asks: Who is the LNP candidate for Miller? but i’m saying it wouldn’t matter because even internal polls show the LNP losing key marginals in the SEQLD but are gaining around in Marginals in regional areas like Townsville. They could also win Lockyer and Burdekin. Non !? Didn’t matter what it was, that was her position. The conventional wisdom is that it tends to be the oldies who turn out the most reliably – and we do have surveys for how they vote: usually LNP! 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